With the Democrats, nothing is in the bag…

October 31, 2006

With the Democrats a mile ahead in most polls and even Necropublican commentators on Larry King last night whimpering that anything short of a rout for the Democrats would make them seem like pathetic losers, John Kerry, oh yes, that John Kerry, finally gave the Necropublicans a talking point. If you haven’t seen it, John Kerry answered a question about education today by inferring that if you don’t get one, you end up in Iraq. Here’s the video clip:

Natch, the Necropublicans, sensing blood in the water, and what’s more, blood in the water involving their favorite fetish -> other people dying for them on foreign soil, have jumped on it. George Bush says:

Even in the midst of a heated campaign season, there are still some things we should all be able to agree on, and one of the most important is that every one of our troops deserves our gratitude and respect

which of course, on its face, is true. However if I was in the military, what I would ask for more than anything, even more than respect, is to not be sent to die in a foreign country except for very, very good reasons. Bush is as he was, a fraud, an eight-year-old playing leader.

And John Kerry, for his part, is as he was, probably well meaning, but stilted and ultimately ineffectual.

If Taylor Marsh is right, here is what he meant to say:

I can’t overstress the importance of a great education. Do you know where you end up if you don’t study, if you aren’t smart, if you’re intellectually lazy? You end up getting us stuck in a war in Iraq.

If Democrats take no other solace from this incident – it should effectively end a Kerry bid in 2008.

Update: I note that Taylor Marsh links to Kerry’s “explanation” – an apology and an attach together. Not too badly done, actually.


Norman Spector: Asshole

October 31, 2006

I don’t really care that he called Belinda Stronach a bitch, as she has proven that she can defend herself from piss-ants like him and Peter MacKay. However, Spector then went on to say that the MacKay remarks would not have been an issue for so long if it weren’t for the fact that “half the Press Gallery now are women and women find this very offensive”. So the real issue for him is that women are getting just a little too close to the Old Boys’ Club; revealing comments from a political has-been.

It’s fun to watch these low-self-esteem shrimp-dicks fall apart when faced with a strong, (apparently) capable woman.


I’m Going to Hide Under the Bed Now.

October 30, 2006

The New York Times Magazine has an interesting article about the potential for nuclear proliferation in the Middle East.
The only thing more frightening than a pyromaniac with a match is a pyromaniac with a can of gas, a box of matches, and no fear of dying.


Lynn and Wolf on Dick

October 30, 2006

Lynn Cheney and Wolf Blitzer here is worth a watch. The BS about her bad novel-writing at the end is garbage, but her obfuscations around Dick’s water-boarding reference are fun to watch. See how if she answers the question.


Ahoy, Kaptain Karl!

October 30, 2006

In the last couple of weeks we’ve seen the SS BushCo, under the steady, if sweaty hand of Kaptain Karl, release the fear torpedo in an attempt to change the debate in the last weeks of mid-term campaigning from degenerate Republicans to fear of terrorists. With increasing military deaths in Iraq and a greater portion of the public finally beginning to understand that they’ve been hood-winked, it didn’t go as planned.

The next phase of the operation has just begun to play itself out – fear of faggotry. Yup, in order to attempt to win back some of the eroding Christian Right that appears to be a little more reluctant to hop aboard the boat, the Kaptain and his mascot “Skippy” Bush, have traipsed out gay marriage (of all things) as their wedge-du-jour:

“Activist judges try to define America by court order,” Bush told the crowd of 4,000 at Silver Creek High School, flanked by local Rep. Mike Sodrel, R-Ind., who is running for re-election. “Just this week in New Jersey, another activist court issued a ruling that raises doubt about the institution of marriage. We believe marriage is between a man and a woman.”

At that, the crowd went wild, members shouting “USA,” stomping feet and shaking pompoms.

Setting aside the simplistic, not to say silly “doubts about marriage” comment, it appears that Karl’s new tack is to conflate gay marriage with patriotism somehow. Go Karl!

The Necropublicans have arranged for constitutional ammendments (a favoured tactic these days) on gay marriage on the ballots in eight states. Enraging those easily enraged about such things will, Karl hopes, drum up the Republican voters in at least these eight states; a ploy that worked well in 2004. The real question is whether it will be enough for 2006. My bet is that over the next week we will also see Terri Schiavo raised as an undead minion of the Republican Party and maybe even Creationists getting a piece of the fun.

Even still, it might not be enough. The Christian Right has not received the treatment they had hoped for in 2000. Faith-based initiatives have gone under- or un-funded, gay marriage is not yet illegal, and abortions can still be had in many places. And dagnabitall, kids can still buy condoms without having to get a signature from their parents! This time around, they might well sit on their hands, if only to show the Kaptain that they can’t be taken for granted.

Indeed, a low turnout in the mid-terms might well increase their strength and importance leading up to 2008.


And so it begins…

October 30, 2006

The Nova Scotia provincial government begins its fall sitting today, and it is bound to be a tumultuous beginning. Premier Rodney has a slimmer minority than last spring, the MLA’s all have fatter salaries and there is a health-care strike in the offing. Just how these three forces play out against each other is going to be interesting.

First, the minority. Unless MacDonald does something really stupid, his government should be able to ride for at least a short time. The Liberal party is leaderless (I know, why should it be any different than during the last election campaign) and won’t select a new leader until sometime next year. The analogy with the federal situation is direct – the Conservatives can soil themselves publicly and the Liberals will just pretend nothing happened. Probably. The only real difference is that unlike his federal counterpart, the interim leader of the NS Liberals, Michel Samson, is by all accounts capable. That fact alone might embolden the party to hold the Conservatives to task, so it might well get interesting. With important issues presenting themselves immediately, it will be easy to Samson’s temperature quickly. As for Darryl Dexter, he will be anxious to demonstrate that the NDP are in fact a government-in-waiting and will try to show some space between NDP and Conservative policies. While the government might receive some support issue-to-issue from the NDP, they will not be able to rely on rope thrown from that direction indefinitely, and bowlines and nooses look similar when your thrashing around in panic.

An “independent” commission over the summer suggested that Nova Scotia MLA’s should receive a 21% raise to bring them in line with other provinces. Which naturally, rejecting any accusation that the provincial government is in fact a financial basket case, they have accepted, and now they receive a base salary of ~ 80K.

It will be interesting to see how the current members of the assembly defend a 21% raise when they face a union of 6,600 healthcare workers demanding something on the order of one-tenth of that. Combine this with the fact that the real issue in the strike might not be salaries, but that the government has been skimming pension contributions for ten years (to the tune of $90 million now), this strike has the possibility of being ugly and long.

Readers will remember that Danny Millions in Newfoundland and Labrador faced a similar strike early in his tenure as premier. However Danny had the benefit of a majority government and balls. If Rodney had demonstrated the existence of the latter, he might well have one the former last spring.


Underfed rabbits from worn-thin hats…

October 27, 2006

But it’s not a Necropublican electoral trick, honest:

Coalition naval forces in the Gulf are on watch for possible terror threats to oil facilities in Saudi Arabia and Bahrain, Western naval officials said Friday.

However, if you read right to the very end of the article, you’ll see it for the bullshit that it really is:

On Friday, light sweet crude for December delivery fell 10 cents to $60.26 a barrel.


A Tap on the The Shoulders of Giants…

October 26, 2006

The New York Times reports:
In an unusual foray into electoral politics, 75 science professors at Case Western Reserve University in Cleveland have signed a letter endorsing a candidate for the Ohio Board of Education.

In my opinion, this should be the norm, not the exception. Be it an election for a school board, a provincial or state government, or a federal race, scientists need to stand up and speak loudly about the vital importance of science.

When polio attacked the younger population of North America in the early part of the last century, science provided the means to halt the spread and prevent further infections. I don’t recall whether Jonas Salk and his associates gave ‘props to God’ after their discovery of the polio vaccine, but I doubt it. Without science in this and many other cases, many more would have been killed or have suffered needlessly.

Scientists as a group have to make themselves known, and make themselves heard. The forces of irrationality are loud, but they are, I believe, a minority. There is an effort underway to create a moral panic – the labelling of a particular social group as deviant and dangerous – about science. There are those who declare science as the reason for the advent of communism, immorality and homosexuality, among other ludicrous claims.

I would see it differently – the advent of these movements, phenomena, whatever, are more indicative of a need for right-wing religious zealots to get their house in order, and start addressing some of the moral and emotional needs of those they purport to serve. Prior to the introduction and growth of the Positivist philosophy, that on which science is based, people were immoral. There were also those who were, perhaps more secretly, homosexual. The freedoms that gay, lesbian, transgendered, bisexual, and/or two-spirited people have gained is a result of a moral shift and a growth of open-mindedness. Science has nothing to do with it, since morals are the playground of philosophers, not scientists.

The recent decision not to join the United Nations ban on bottom trawling is indicative of a reluctance to accept scientific findings on the part of our elected representatives and their advisors. What evidence exists that contradicts the findings that the practice is harmful? What will be needed to further convince elected officials that a burning bush is not necessary to decision-making? Even the U.S. near-theocracy has accepted the evidence. A small minority who obviously do not understand science and how it works should not be allowed to be the only ones providing advice.

One thing I would like to clarify: Science is not a belief system. A belief system is based on faith, and does not insist on confirmation. In fact, it is often damaged by any attempt at proof. Science is a method, distinguished by its systematic nature, and the ability to reliably predict natural events based on testing and re-testing of hypotheses. Science makes mistakes, and the history of science is replete with ideas that did not stand up to scientific scrutiny. That’s what makes it great, though – any theory is subject to examination and refutation. The cumulative nature of science and the way scientific knowledge accumulates means that the ideas that work are kept, and those that don’t get dumped. There is constant refinement – ideas build upon each other, and the acceptance of a newer theory does not mean that older theories are wrong. Einstein’s physics do not in any way invalidate Newton’s, they build on the ideas. The inability to either prove or disprove such ideas as creationism mean that they are faith, not science. And not particularly intelligent faith at that.

Debate is crucial to science’s success. Evolution is accepted as fact, due to the confirmation offered not only by paleontology, but by physics, chemistry, cosmology, biology and many others. The mechanisms may be discussed and debated, but the fact of evolution is irrefutable. This spirit of debate needs to extend to the public arena – we need to be clear, focused and disciplined, and not give in to the emotional arguments of the opponents of science.

My point is that the apparent silence that most of us as scientists have kept in relation to politics has to end – we need to ask the hard questions about support for science and engineering among our elected representatives. Scientists don’t study politics, but they are citizens, and as such, they have a responsibility to illuminate their areas of expertise so reason and rationality, rather than emotion, insults and fear, rule our governing institutions. If we don’t ensure the progress of our society toward rationality, who will?


Oh, Wait…Was That Out Loud?

October 26, 2006

A man who told Canadian border agents he was visiting Canada to have sex with a 15-year-old girl he met over the Internet has been sentenced to 10 years in prison.

I’m not sure what makes me more uncomfortable about this, his reason for crossing the border or the fact that when asked by authorities, he answered truthfully. Planning to have sex with a 15-year-old is pathetic and sick. I should think lying would be relatively easy by comparison.

Unfortunately, among a certain portion of the population, sexual contact with minors (yes, I know, 15 is over the age of consent in BC – that’s presumably why he went trolling in Canada rather than Washington State) has become normative behavior. No longer are pedophiles isolated from one another, but they are able to form groups of like-minded individuals over the Internet. Constant reinforcement of your beliefs and desires by a select few who share your views will make any claimed belief or proclivity ‘normal’ behavior within a reference group. It is certainly possible to receive this reinforcement to the exclusion of all else – without any other human contact, we will adopt the norms of the group we belong to. So, pedophiles are isolated physically, but thanks to the Internet, they can find each other and associate virtually and ideologically. I think that would clearly fall into the category of the ‘Law of Unintended Consequences’. Regular porn, you betcha. Kiddie porn, no freakin’ way.

In my view, as un-liberal as it may seem, penalties for possession and distribution of child pornography, as well as child-luring, should be as harsh and inhumane and final as we can make them. Why governments and courts are accepting probations or a few months in jail as punishment is mind-boggling. 10 years, less time off for a few psychological sessions and good behavior, is nothing. In this case, the girl was not victimized, but in too many other cases, the children suffer for a lot more than a decade.


Rush Limbaugh does it again…

October 25, 2006

Rush: Hey, is that my dick? [Stomp!]

As Billmon notes, Limbaugh’s comments on the Michael J. Fox stem cell ad has changed the debate on stem cells by making it more human:

Rush, in his infinite wisdom, has now ensured that the issue isn’t abortion. It isn’t even stem cells. Now it’s all about Michael J. Fox and his battle with Parkinson’s Disease — which is exactly how you don’t want it framed if you’re the GOP candidates in those races (or a supporter of Missouri’s proposed constitutional ban on stem cell research.)

I don’t know where Limbaugh got the idea that telling scurrilous lies about one of America’s favorite celebrities — and someone who enjoys a huge amount of public sympathy to boot — was a shrewd political move. But the Dems should be damned glad he did. Considering how razor-close the Missouri race appears to be, Rush may have just single-handedly booted away a Republican Senate seat.

For those that haven’t seen it, here is the ad in question.


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